{"id":5101,"date":"2022-02-01T09:24:46","date_gmt":"2022-02-01T09:24:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.casino.com\/blog\/\/blog\/?p=5101"},"modified":"2023-10-18T03:10:40","modified_gmt":"2023-10-18T03:10:40","slug":"blackjack-betting-systems","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.casino.com\/blog\/2022\/02\/01\/blackjack-betting-systems\/","title":{"rendered":"Blackjack Betting Systems And Why They Don\u2019t Work"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
Blackjack, as one of the world\u2019s most popular casino<\/a> games, has been the subject of a great deal of exploratory work over the decades. This means that a) the game is now so well understood that there\u2019s a proper way to play it, known as the basic blackjack strategy<\/a>, and b) that there have been a number of efforts to \u2018game\u2019 or otherwise optimise the way the blackjack experience plays out.<\/p>\n\n It\u2019s understandable. Everybody would like their favourite table game to serve as a convenient money printer. Inevitably, though, without exception, all of these blackjack betting systems are flawed. They might provide short-term returns or protect bankrolls over longer play sessions but, as blackjack<\/a> has an element of luck and the house always has an edge of around 0.5% to 1.5%, no system is unbreakable.<\/p>\n\n With help from our online blackjack expert Michael Shackleford<\/a>, we\u2019re going to introduce the most popular blackjack betting systems and explain why they\u2019re not the blessing that many newcomers might think they are.<\/p>\n\n There can be little debate the Martingale<\/a> is one of the most well-known blackjack betting systems out there. The player simply doubles their previous bet on a loss. As Mike Shackleford explains, \u201cThe thinking behind it is \u2018I have to win eventually\u2019 and, when you do win, you recoup all those previous losses since you started with a one-unit bet, plus win one more unit.<\/p>\n\n The Martingale can be deceptive, because it usually does result in small wins.\u00a0 However, when it goes bad, it goes really bad.\u00a0 No matter how much money you have and how much you play, eventually you\u2019ll have a sitting with a long sequence of consecutive losses and you don\u2019t have the money to double your wager again.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n \u201cSo, a player starts with two units\u201d, our expert begins. \u201cAfter a loss, they will go back down to one. After the first win, they go down to one and then, after a second win, the player will go up one unit at a time. So, you need to have four wins in a row to win four units, so most of the time you\u2019re either going to lose or win small. It seems like a non-aggressive progressive strategy.\u201d<\/p>\n\n The benefit of the Manhattan System is that it provides good returns on a run of strong hands, but a streak of good luck is just as likely as a run of bad fortune, which makes the Manhattan System highly situational. It\u2019s also rather confusing for beginners, as there\u2019s a fair amount to remember as the game proceeds. This particular strategy resembles the D\u2019Alembert system, albeit with some rules in reverse.<\/p>\n\n Getting a little more complicated now. The 1-3-2-6 blackjack betting system is a progressive system (we\u2019ll elaborate on that term shortly) that has some resemblance to the Paroli method, a highly defensive strategy that only lasts as long as three consecutive wins take. In 1-3-2-6, the whole process begins with an even money bet. So, let’s say we stake \u00a32.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n This system is applicable to a number of casino games but, given its complexity and the size of the wagers required, it\u2019s not the most popular of the available blackjack betting systems. Michael adds a further note of caution: \u201cYou need to win four times to have a big win, otherwise, you\u2019re just going to have something happen between losing two and winning two units.\u201d Be careful with this one.<\/p>\n\n An off-shoot of the Martingale system, the D\u2019Alembert system was invented by a French mathematician about 300 years ago. We\u2019ve mentioned this one a few times already, but we\u2019ll leave the analysis to our resident expert: \u201cWith this one, it\u2019s not like you keep repeating the same cycle over and over again. Here, you always increase your last bet by a unit after a loss and you decrease it after a win, and you quit whenever you reach your winning goal or you run out of money.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n \u201cSo, the good thing about this system is that this is going to show a profit if the wins outnumber the losses but, also, if the losses only marginally outnumber the wins. It\u2019s only going to lose if you have a lot of losses and a small number of wins, and if that happens you can get really killed.\u201d Once again, the D\u2019Alembert system demonstrates just how much betting strategies can be undone by bad luck.<\/p>\n\n Risky and underpinned by the need for a winning streak, the Parlay strategy is an all-or-nothing system. \u201cThis one is also known as the Reverse Martingale or Anti-Martingale\u201d, Mike explains. \u201cThe player will double up his previous bet after a win and reset to one unit after a loss. So, this is going to be appropriate for a player who wants to win a lot of money and he\u2019s prepared to lose everything he brings to the table chasing it.\u201d<\/p>\n\n \u201cFor example, a player sits down at a table with $100 and he wants to win $50,000, and he\u2019s going to keep playing until he achieves one of those two markers. This would be a good way to maximise his chances of getting that big win. Of course, he\u2019s usually going to lose.\u201d Hopefully, it should be evident that the Parlay system is dangerous and, unlike almost all the other\u00a0blackjack betting systems out there, insists on using no caution at all.<\/p>\n\n A few quick definitions, here. The word progression is just a way of describing what you do to your wager after a win or a loss. In a positive progression, increase your bet on a win and reduce it on a loss. A negative progression works in much the same way but in reverse, i.e., decrease your wager if your bet wins and increase it on a loss. So, to put that another way, negative and positive progressions are ways of describing betting systems. They are not betting systems themselves.<\/p>\n\n Otherwise known as Oscar\u2019s Grind, Hoyle\u2019s Press, and the Pluscoup Progression, this method is an attempt to balance a lot of wins with a lot of losses. \u201cThis is one where you increase your bet by one unit after a win and you stay the same on a tie or a loss\u201d, Michael explains. \u201cSo, this is one where your bet amount is going to keep increasing.\u201d While similar to the Parlay system, Oscar\u2019s betting method is not as reckless in practice.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n \u201cThis is another one where, if you have a big winning goal and you don\u2019t mind losing everything you bring to the table to obtain it, this might be appropriate. Unlike the Parlay System, you\u2019re going to have more time to play with it, more time at the table. The flip side of that coin is that your chances of obtaining your winning goal are not going to be as high. The more you sit at that table, the more the house edge is going to grind you down and lower your chances of achieving whatever your goal is.\u201d<\/p>\n\n As a bit of trivia, Oscar\u2019s betting method was written down by somebody called Allan. No, we don\u2019t quite get that either.<\/p>\n\n Okay, we\u2019ve already been over a number of reasons why these blackjack betting systems don\u2019t work but as a summary, here\u2019s a quick bulleted list, with further commentary from Mike Shackleford.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n In summary, while betting systems can add excitement to any casino game, as well as a bit of direction to newcomers\u2019 early experiences, many of the risks associated with using these strategies outweigh the benefits. If you do insist on using one, though, go in with your eyes wide open, knowing you\u2019ll eventually lose in the long run, no matter what betting system you use.\u00a0 Here are Michael\u2019s closing words.<\/p>\n\n \u201cI\u2019d like to say that all betting systems are equally worthless in the long run if your goal is to win money or lose the least amount of money possible. I\u2019m not saying don\u2019t use one. If it makes gambling more fun for you, by all means, go ahead. Just don\u2019t be deceived that it\u2019s going to help you in the long run and, if you do use a betting system, please use one of the free ones, like the ones that we just talked about, as opposed to paying somebody for one, as they are just out to cheat your money.\u201d<\/p>\n\n We hope you enjoyed reading our analysis of blackjack betting systems and why they don’t work – and thank you to our guest expert Michael Shackleford for his insight into what can be a very confusing part of casino gaming.<\/p>\n\n We have used quite a bit of gaming jargon in this article, so if you would like to find out more about common (and not-so-common) blackjack terminology then head over to our glossary of terms<\/a> for more info.<\/p>\n\n The house edge or RTP<\/a> that is quoted by a casino is always based on the player using a perfect basic blackjack strategy. Given its low house edge, blackjack players often use a progressive betting system to try and gain an edge. The dealer\u2019s rules for hitting or standing is one of the most important factors that make the RTP vary.<\/p>\n\n Previous:<\/strong> Traditional v Online<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\nThe Martingale System<\/h2>\n\n
The 2-1-2 or Manhattan System<\/h2>\n\n
The 1-3-2-6 System<\/h2>\n\n
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The D\u2019Alembert System<\/h2>\n\n
The Parlay System<\/h2>\n\n
Negative and Positive Progressions<\/h2>\n\n
Oscar\u2019s Blackjack Betting Method<\/h2>\n\n
Why These Systems Don\u2019t Work<\/h2>\n\n
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